IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.0	#211
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.6	#192
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.8	#191

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.2	#255

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	2.2%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	14.1	14.3

.500 or above	36.9%	40.3%	12.8%
.500 or above in Conference	31.0%	33.2%	15.2%
Conference Champion	2.0%	2.2%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	20.7%	18.6%	34.9%

First Four	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
First Round	1.8%	2.0%	0.2%
Second Round	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Home) - 87.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 2.0	0.1 - 2.0
Quad 1b	0.2 - 2.0	0.3 - 4.0
Quad 2	1.1 - 4.1	1.4 - 8.2
Quad 3	3.7 - 5.6	5.1 - 13.8
Quad 4	8.0 - 3.1	13.1 - 16.9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	336	Detroit Mercy	W	83-74	88%
Nov 10, 2018	118	@ Mississippi	L	73-79	19%
Nov 13, 2018	245	@ Oakland	W	75-73	45%
Nov 19, 2018	36	@ Cincinnati	L	59-73	6%
Nov 23, 2018	343	Southern	W	75-64	83%
Nov 24, 2018	263	Nicholls St.	W	78-75	59%
Dec 01, 2018	334	South Carolina Upstate	W	82-73	85%
Dec 08, 2018	329	@ Youngstown St.	W	80-72	67%
Dec 15, 2018	19	@ Michigan	L	60-76	5%
Dec 19, 2018	107	@ Dayton	L	68-75	20%
Dec 22, 2018	261	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	70-67	68%
Dec 30, 2018	282	UC Riverside	W	71-68	71%
Jan 05, 2019	184	@ Akron	L	71-73	33%
Jan 08, 2019	159	@ Kent St.	L	71-74	30%
Jan 12, 2019	126	Toledo	L	72-78	41%
Jan 15, 2019	65	Buffalo	L	74-85	24%
Jan 19, 2019	205	@ Bowling Green	L	74-75	39%
Jan 22, 2019	142	@ Ohio	L	72-77	26%
Jan 26, 2019	135	Eastern Michigan	L	65-70	43%
Feb 02, 2019	219	@ Central Michigan	W	74-73	42%
Feb 05, 2019	205	Bowling Green	L	74-75	59%
Feb 09, 2019	111	@ Ball St.	L	71-78	21%
Feb 12, 2019	186	Northern Illinois	L	71-73	54%
Feb 14, 2019	159	Kent St.	L	71-74	47%
Feb 16, 2019	170	Miami (OH)	L	68-71	51%
Feb 23, 2019	135	@ Eastern Michigan	L	65-70	26%
Feb 26, 2019	186	@ Northern Illinois	L	71-73	35%
Mar 02, 2019	111	Ball St.	L	71-78	39%
Mar 05, 2019	126	@ Toledo	L	72-78	23%
Mar 08, 2019	219	Central Michigan	W	74-73	60%
Projected Record						13.1 - 16.9	6.9 - 11.1

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.1	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0			3.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	1.9	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.0					5.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	2.2	2.3	0.9	0.1	0.0						6.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.6	2.9	0.7	0.0								6.5	5th
6th								0.3	2.1	4.0	1.1	0.1									7.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.1	4.5	2.0	0.1	0.0									9.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.8	4.5	2.7	0.4	0.0										9.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.8	5.1	3.3	0.7	0.0											10.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	2.4	5.2	3.7	0.9	0.0												12.6	10th
11th		0.0	0.8	2.9	4.3	3.7	1.1	0.0													12.9	11th
12th	0.7	2.2	3.8	4.3	2.3	0.5	0.1														13.9	12th

Total	0.7	2.3	4.6	7.6	9.1	11.3	11.9	11.1	10.4	9.5	7.0	5.3	3.9	2.8	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	89.2%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
15-3	65.3%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	42.5%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	17.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		96.8%	90.3%	6.5%	9.8						0.0	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		66.7%
17-1	0.1%		63.5%	32.0%	31.5%	10.6					0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		46.3%
16-2	0.3%		47.8%	40.2%	7.7%	12.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1		12.8%
15-3	0.7%		18.2%	14.1%	4.1%	12.7										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.6		4.7%
14-4	1.3%		15.4%	15.2%	0.2%	12.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.1		0.2%
13-5	2.8%		9.7%	9.7%		13.4												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	2.5
12-6	3.9%		4.8%	4.8%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	3.7
11-7	5.3%		4.8%	4.8%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	5.1
10-8	7.0%		3.4%	3.4%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	6.8
9-9	9.5%		1.8%	1.8%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	9.4
8-10	10.4%		1.6%	1.6%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.2
7-11	11.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																0.0	0.0	11.1
6-12	11.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
5-13	11.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
4-14	9.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
3-15	7.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.6
2-16	4.6%																							4.6
1-17	2.3%																							2.3
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		1.9%	1.8%	0.1%	14.1					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.5	98.1		0.1%